A brand new 2024 election ballot reveals Vice President Kamala Harris rating forward of former President Donald Trump, gaining a lead for the Democratic Celebration after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race.
What Occurred: Harris has been surging in 2024 election polls and prediction markets, taking a lead over Trump in lots of instances.
A brand new Emerson Faculty ballot reveals Harris with a lead and the next outcomes:
Kamala Harris: 50%
Donald Trump: 46%
Undecided: 5%
The ballot is the primary nationwide survey carried out by Emerson Faculty since Biden dropped out of the race. The earlier ballot confirmed Trump with a 48% to 47% lead over Biden, with Harris now swinging the Democratic Celebration to a lead.
Carried out from Aug. 12 by means of Aug. 14, the ballot included solely voters who mentioned they’re prone to vote within the 2024 election, in comparison with previous polls which included all registered voters.
When undecided voters have been requested to choose which method they have been leaning, the ballot went to Harris 52% and Trump 48%. The inclusion of third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. noticed the ballot present 48% for Harris, 44% for Trump and 4% for Kennedy Jr.
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Why It is Essential: The brand new ballot reveals Harris flipping the script and taking again a lead for the Democratic Celebration. Harris additionally reveals energy throughout a number of key voter demographic teams within the newest ballot.
“Seemingly voters underneath 30 have shifted towards Harris by 9 factors, 56% of whom supported Biden, 65% now help Harris. Voters over 70 additionally help Harris over Trump, 51% to 48% — final month they broke 50% to 48% for Trump,” Emerson Faculty Polling government director Spencer Kimball mentioned.
Unbiased voters additionally favored Harris within the ballot with 46% backing Harris and 45% backing Trump, in comparison with a forty five% to 44% lead for Trump over Biden final month.
The ballot discovered Harris to be seen favorable by 51% of voters and seen unfavorable by 49% of voters. Trump’s ranking was 45% favorable and 54% unfavorable within the ballot.
Amongst 2024 vice-presidential operating mates, Tim Walz has a good ranking of 39% and unfavorable ranking of 39%. J.D. Vance has a good ranking of 39% and an unfavorable ranking of 49%.
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